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History => Ancient and Medieval History => Topic started by: Justin Swanton on June 24, 2013, 07:05:18 AM

Title: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Swanton on June 24, 2013, 07:05:18 AM
This in response to Patrick's sensible request.

I agree with his hypothesis that Hannibal planned a double envelopment of the Roman infantry using his veterans once his cavalry, which he believed superior in numbers to their Roman counterparts, had sent the Roman horse off the field. Caught with his pants down by the surprise appearance of Masinissa's Numidians, he made a change of plan and went for an Ottoman-style frontal assault with all three lines, in the hopes of wearing the Roman foot down to breaking point.

For me the central problem is this: once the Carthaginian cavalry, by design or accident, had drawn the Roman cavalry off the field, why did not Hannibal execute his outflanking manoeuvre anyway? He had the time to do so and it would have won him the battle.

My suggestions:

1. Scipio, a well-versed student of Hannibal, kept back a flank guard once the bulk of his cavalry had gone off in pursuit of the Carthaginians. It wouldn't need much to stop two infantry columns marching around the flanks of the legions, even if the columns were made up of veterans. It would surprise me if Scipio, possibly the most brilliant general in Antiquity, had not made some sort of provision against outflanking.

2. Hannibal did not know the situation with the cavalry once they had quit the field. The Romans, manifestly superior, could return at any moment. He judged it safer to go for a frontal assault, with the third line handy as a defence against a rear attack by the Roman horse. When faced with the unknown, Hannibal became cautious, taking no risks. He was a methodical planner, not a brilliant improviser like Caesar.

3. Hannibal knew that even if he did perform a successful envelopment, he would need more time to destroy the Roman infantry than he believed he had. It took him several hours to kill off the surrounded Roman foot at Cannae. He may have calculated that he did not have that time at Zama. Should the Roman cavalry return before he had reduced the Roman infantry, he would be cut to pieces.

Any ideas?
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 24, 2013, 07:28:16 AM
what are the actual sources to suggest that Hannibal intended to deploy is veterans as a flanking force?

what are the actual sources to indicate that he then changed this plan on the field?

I ask because changing battle plans on the field after seeing the enemy army is not at all something which is typical of either general or the period. - especially when 'shown' that army in camp the night before.

Which makes me doubt the entre premise.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Taylor on June 24, 2013, 08:53:19 AM
My view, the attack with the elephants failed. In view of how close it was at the end with the failed elephant attack, then a successful charge of the elephants should have brought victory.

I have (generally) seen two views on why the Italian campaign veterans were kept back as a third line; to prevent an out-flanking move by Scipio or (as they were used) to take on the Roman infantry after it had fought two lines of the Carthaginian infantry . Mind you those two options are not mutually exclusive.

Having fought it as a game, the elephant attack does work provided you go in hard with the mercenaries. Stampeding elephants also hurt the mercenaries but the Romans find it very tough to deal with infantry and elephants at the same time.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Swanton on June 24, 2013, 09:11:56 AM
Quote from: Mark G on June 24, 2013, 07:28:16 AM
what are the actual sources to suggest that Hannibal intended to deploy is veterans as a flanking force?

what are the actual sources to indicate that he then changed this plan on the field?

I ask because changing battle plans on the field after seeing the enemy army is not at all something which is typical of either general or the period. - especially when 'shown' that army in camp the night before.

Which makes me doubt the entre premise.

The point though is that what Hannibal's spies were shown - before being allowed to escape - was the Roman cavalry only. No Numidians in the camp until the following day. Which would explain why Hannibal arranged to meet Scipio and size him up, that escape being a little too easy.... Scipio acts the part of the pompous and overconfident fool, the sort of general Hannibal was used to encountering, and Hannibal falls for it.

But I'm just paraphrasing. Ut loquatur Patricius ipse!

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 24, 2013, 10:26:49 AM
nothing in that episode of the spies indicates Hannibal planned to use his veterans to repeat Cannae.

remember, there is absolutely no evidence that his first lines attempted to give ground, as they did at Cannae, which was central to the plan working then, quite the contrary in fact, he refuses to allow them to give pull back through the centre, and instead forces them around his flanks.

and hence, what are the source evidences for this plan - cause to me, the whole scenario you outline seems incredibly complicated for something which is then changed on the spot that morning when the armies are deployed and he sees more cavalry on the Roman side than he thought when he drew up the battle layout and issued his orders/

much more likely is that he simply tried to repeat the same thing which had won victory in almost exactly the same circumstances at Bagradas -
which is, an elephant charge leading successive waves of attacks by expendable troops which wear down the Romans until his main troops, the African Veteran, move in to make the culminating attack which destroys the Roman army.

a simple plan which had worked against this army before and which conforms pretty exactly to the moves which his army makes on the day.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Duncan Head on June 24, 2013, 11:10:26 AM
The mechanics for extending Hannibal's third line to outflank the Romans, and some reasons to believe that was his plan, were set out in Steven James' article in Slingshot 241 (I remember the number because by chance I was looking at that issue for something else just yesterday). I don't think his reconstruction included Hannibal being misled about cavalry numbers though -  that's an interesting idea I don't recall seeing before.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 24, 2013, 01:00:22 PM
Bagradas does seem to have been Hannibal's basic template for Zama, but it is worth remembering that at Bagradas Xanthippus had one line of infantry and no 'expendable' troops.  His predominantly Carthaginian citizen infantry (cf. Hannibal's second line at Zama) followed the elephants in directly and cut up the Romans who filtered through between the beasts before they could form up again, with the elephants doing most of the execution (Polybius I.34 and I.39).  The cavalry were also a vital part of the Bagradas battle-plan, driving their Roman opponents off the field and surrounding the Roman infantry (no 'off-board pursuit', incidentally).

Where Hannibal's plan differed was the availability of extra infantry and the unavailability of sufficient elephants.  Xanthippus' 12,000 infantry (total), less detachments supporting the cavalry wings, would have covered, at 16 deep, a frontage of no more than 750 yards.  Regulus, with 15,000 infantry less losses in earlier successful engagements, deploying at standard depth (21 men in lines of 8, 8 and 5 prior to detaching velites), would cover just over 700 yards.  Polybius indicates he deployed in double depth ('great depth', degree not specified, but double works), like Varro at Cannae, which would roughly halve his frontage (just over 350 yards).  Xanthippus presumably deepened his line to 32 deep to match.  The frontages would have been very similar, allowing for some of Xanthippus' infantry doing their cavalry support on the wings.

Of this 350 yard-ish frontage, about 13/15 was fronted by elephants (2,000 Roman infantry were left not facing elephants, beat their opponents and marched off the field, later being picked up by ships and making their way back to Sicily).

This gives c.100 elephants fronting c.300 yards.  Xanthippus seems either to have placed them in a very dense line more reminiscent of Indian than Hellenistic practice, or to have deployed them in files.  Either way they crunched into the Romans en masse, velites and all, and the Romans had no real counter except to filter through between the elephants and try to attack the formed Carthaginian infantry following up behind.  This led to each Roman being speared by multiple opponents as the meat-grinder pushed forwards.  The cavalry, surrounding the Romans on flanks and rear, prevented any effective redeployment.

Hannibal, by contrast, had something like 80 elephants and a longer frontage to cover: Scipio's OB is unclear, but a guess that he had around 24,000 infantry (exclusive of Masinissa's Numidians) is probably not too far off the mark.  A good rule of thumb seems to be 200 yards frontage per legion, and Scipio's troops amount to roughly four (large) legion equivalents.  The standard infantry frontage for a consular army appears to have been c.800 yards, so we give him that and look at the arithmetic.   His immediate opponents, the c.12,000 Celts and Balearics assumed to be Mago's old command could draw up on a 750-yard frontage 16 deep.  The approximately 12,000 Carthaginian citizenry would line up behind them in similar depth on a similar frontage.   Hannibal thus has about 80 elephants on a front of about 800 yards, or 1 elephant per 10 yards rather than Xanthippus' 1 elephant per 3 yards.  Xanthippus evidently felt this elephant density essential, because he left part of his frontage pachyderm-free and, as the event demonstrated, vulnerable to Roman infantry frontally - given his general competence he would not have done this by choice.

Hannibal cannot muster sufficient elephants to achieve the same density: he has only one per ten yards, and if he wishes to achieve the same density he can only achieve it on about one third of his frontage.  He therefore needs ersatz elephantry to help out and spread the effect: enter the Celts.

How the Celts were deployed can be surmised from the passage in Polybius that indicates that the Carthaginian second line ended up fighting Romans and mercenaries at the same time.  Were the Celts deployed in a solid line 16 deep, this would be patently impossible: the second line would have to fight aggrieved Celts first and tiring Romans later, not both simultaneously.  Furthermore, Polybius refers to their debut as a 'counter-attack' or 'charge' [trope ... epistestontes, a movement ... falling upon/assailing], so how do they reach Romans through the ranks of Celts, and reach them with enough organisation and impetus to cause the hastati to falter and the principes to be brought up ready to relieve them?

To me, the only arrangement that makes sense is that the Celts were deployed part as light infantry and part as discrete 'attack columns' intended to follow up the elephants and plough into any gaps they made.  This would give the Carthaginian citizen troops the exact role they had at Bagradas - spearing any Romans who managed to push forwards through gaps between elephants and Gauls.

So what went wrong?  Polybius records the Celts advancing at a measured pace, whereas a howling charge would have been more traditional and perhaps what Hannibal wanted - he may have underestimated Mago's training of these men, though normally he would have paid attention to such details.  Conceivably the Celts, who were all experienced warriors, preferred to let the elephants go on ahead and then pitch in themselves.  If so, it seems to have been a departure from any intent to send them in on the heels of the elephantry in order to maximise disruption.  Their slowness may have inhibited the advance of the second line, or the fact that the Carthaginian cavalry were going backwards pressed by Romans rather than the expected other way round (on the basis that Hannibal was surprised by Masinissa's presence) could have caused the Carthaginian citizenry to wonder if their orders would change, and the stillness of Hannibal's veterans in the rear could have induced them to halt, too.  And with Scipio's men blowing every trumpet they had, it might have been impossible to distinguish signals anyway.

Scipio's unusual deployment, with centuries one behind the other rather than side-to-side, made it easy for the elephants to take the course of least resistance and charge down the lanes.  It is quite possible the Celts also made for these gaps, expecting the Carthaginian citizenry to be marching up behind them to give them cover and support Bagradas-style.  Their measured progress may even have been with the aim of letting the citizenry keep up.  Having pitched in against the Romans and inserted themselves between the doubled-up hastati maniples, they were less than pleased to discover the citizenry had not followed them and were still hanging around in their initial position or close to it.  At this point two things seem to have happened: the citizen troops finally received, or were able to distinguish, the signal to advance, and the Celts concluded that the citizen troops had let the side down (the Celts, being experienced, could probably distinguish signals from background noise much better than the inexperienced citizen troops could).  Result: a tardy grand charge by the citizen troops which slammed into the hastati maniples which were already trying to cope with Celts in the gaps, and some simultaneous blue-in-blue strife as Celts in the gaps between the hastati conveyed with their blades what they thought of this late arrival.

So far Hannibal's new Bagradas had more or less achieved one of its aims: the Roman line had been disrupted and the Carthaginian citizens were able to present a coherent and cohesive line to a disrupted Roman one.  Not part of the plan was that the elephants had run out of control as a result of Scipio's trumpet and horn concerto and that the Celts had in part turned on their supports, but the Roman army was effectively pinned even if it was not being methodically masticated.  The second part of the arrangement, encirclement of the Roman infantry, had however come wildly unstuck.

Even with Tychaeus' Numidians, Hannibal did not have enough cavalry to wrap up Scipio's infantry Bagradas-style.  He did however have a substantial force of veterans who he told his other troops to rely upon as the 'sure foundation of victory' - in other words, they had a decisive role.  I shall not repeat Steven James' observations and conclusions here, but shall just observe that Hannibal had, or rather thought he had, enough cavalry to chase off Laelius's men (Masinissa being assumed absent) and more than enough spare infantry to encircle Scipio's.  The obvious conclusion is that the Carthaginian cavalry were tasked with removing their Roman counterparts and the veterans with gift-wrapping Scipio's infantry.

This would have worked had Hannibal indeed been superior in cavalry - and would have worked if he had known Masinissa was present and hence waited for Vermina.  The episode of the spies as told by Polybius makes it seem that Scipio really wanted Hannibal's spies to convey some specific information to their master, and the only variable that changed between their report and the battle was the arrival of Masinissa and his troops.  Ergo, it is hard to escape the conclusion that Scipio deliberately misled Hannibal in order to bring on a battle where Scipio would have a cavalry advantage - and before Vermina could reinforce the Carthaginians and make Roman success impossible.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Swanton on June 24, 2013, 03:14:31 PM
Any ideas though on what would stop Hannibal's veterans encircling the Romans once both sides' cavalry had quit the field? Or to put it another way, how would the veterans have executed the encircling manoeuvre? Something like Scipio's own manoeuvre at Ilipa? For me it's still a toss between Hannibal being unable to send the veterans around the flanks and him judging he didn't have the time for it.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 24, 2013, 04:35:42 PM
I have to say I find Todd Cary far more convincing that James as an analyst of this battle.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Taylor on June 24, 2013, 05:37:10 PM
On answer to Justin S. to my mind the key to not sending the veterans round Scipios flanks, is timing.

At the time that the Carthaginian cavalry had left the field, the elephants and the mercenaries had been defeated. The second line either were about to or were already fighting the Roman infantry.

So now would not be a good time to remove the 'back-stop' and leave a big gaping hole in the middle of his army.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 24, 2013, 06:10:27 PM
The classic method for moving the veterans would be to form a 'column' of subunits (essentially the subunits on the left wheel left, those on the right wheel right, and the resultant serpentine chains of subunits snake out round the flanks).  These would trudge past the embattled battle lines and swing in behind the Romans, Cannae-style, hopefully meeting up behind the Roman army, at which point the subunits all wheel to face the target and close in.

Such an arrangement is naturally somewhat sensitive to cavalry thundering down their projected course track, not to mention stray uncontrolled elephants crossing the intended line of march.  A massive dust could is also not conducive either to seeing where one is going or to finding out exactly what is going on amid all that noise and general background of incessantly drumming hoofbeats.  One can envisage Hannibal cancelling the projected movement when he saw his own cavalry begin to fall back, and declining to reinstate it both when the respective cavalry contingents thundered past and subsequently while he feared the possible return of the Roman horse.

I would think that the architect of Cannae would have been able to send troops around the Roman flanks, and that the veterans who had accompanied him back to Africa were more than capable of achieving the manoeuvre.  Why, then, did he not set it in motion once the cavalry had passed?

The most likely answer is that he did not know when the Roman cavalry would be coming back, and so delayed until the manoeuvre no longer seemed viable.  There is however another dimension: for the first time in his life he had been outwitted, outfoxed and out-thought.  He would also be considering Scipio's past record, how at Ilipa the Roman general had deployed his legions unconventionally, the three lines not behind each other, but side to side.  If Scipio did the same here, at Zama, Hannibal would find his encircling manoeuvre intercepted, with an infantry meeting engagement on the flanks.  Without the Carthaginian cavalry to inhibit the Roman infantry, Scipio might stop Hannibal's manoeuvre half-way, turning it into a mere extended slog rather than a brilliant and deadly embrace of a helpless foe.  Yet how could this be worse than what eventually occurred, a mere extended slog without even the benefit of his first two lines occupying the hastati?

My feeling is that Hannibal was a prey to indecision, and it was indecision that finished him at Zama.  Had he initiated the encircling manoeuvre as soon as it was obvious that the cavalry had gone past and were not about to fall on the rear of his line, he would have got it moving while Scipio's principes were still up behind the hastati ready to relieve them, while mercenaries and citizens were still fighting the Romans (in addition to each other).  Scipio would thus have had only the not-very-numerous triarii to counter the manoeuvre, and Hannibal's veterans would have beaten these in fairly short order, outnumbering them perhaps six to one.  Scipio would have had to take his principes from behind the hastati just as the latter were wavering in the face of the Carthaginian citizenry's determined charge, with potentially dire consequences for the entire Roman army.

And yet Hannibal shrank from trying.  He performed no bold strokes, indeed he fails even to sort out the mutual slaughter among the citizens and mercenaries.  His one clear action is to order his last line not to admit the fugitives from the first two - was his veterans' morale that shaky?  Were they so poor at resuming order after opening files?  Or was it Hannibal who had his presumably one and only attack of nerves, having seen his battle plan crumble before his eyes as Masinissa's troops appeared on the battlefield?  For a general who made his career out-thinking and out-foxing opponents, to realise he had been out-foxed himself would have been a shattering blow.

To me, the irony of Zama is that for all Scipio's cunning deception, Hannibal could still have won had he carried through his original plan.  He came so close in the event that had he started his veterans into action earlier he could have caught Scipio at a disadvantage and given him a thorough drubbing.  With the Roman infantry gone, the return of the Roman cavalry would serve no purpose.

On the question of timing, Polybius' account suggests that the mercenaries hung on for much longer than the elephants and cavalry.  The time was there had Hannibal chosen to make use of it.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Justin Swanton on June 24, 2013, 07:02:55 PM
Interesting analysis, Patrick.

I suspect too, that Scipio would have anticipated an encircling manoeuvre - he knew Hannibal and he remembered Cannae. Hannibal outnumbered him more than 2:1 in infantry. What else did he think the great Barca would do? I can't imagine him being content with hoping Hannibal would just stand and gibber once his lovely plan fell to pieces. There must have been a plan B in Scipio's mind.

Unless he knew Hannibal so well that he counted on him not doing anything once his best-laid plans had gang agley. Really good stuff for a novel...
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 07:39:39 AM
So I take it that these proponents of the 'abandoned flanking march' theory also have it that the accepted deployment at Cannae was false.

that is

that Hannibal at Cannae did NOT deploy is veterans in columns on the flanks (hidden from view by other troops),

and that they in fact deployed in a fighting line,
then redeployed to a flank march position,
allowed the gauls and Spanish to withdraw fighting and tempt the romans forward,
and then proceeded to march even further again in to the full flanking position.

since that is what you are saying was the expected plan at zama - multiple redeployments by the same troops in the middle of the battle.

initially into the fighting line (surely a compete waste of time if this is not your plan()
redeployment into columns to march to the flanks
redeployment again to a flank aligned position, awaiting their opportunity to march
and then again, the march itself past the side of the legions over ground which the cavalry had been fighting over (and as we know, troops were routing out past)
and again redeployment into a fighting position to envelop.

Cannae required only one redeployment
they begin in flanking columns in position.
the romans march INTO the trap as the Spanish and gauls withdraw.
the veterans redeploy once into the fighting position to envelop.

And his veterans at Zama not only have to be capable of doing this in the battle, and prepared for it the night before (remember, Hannibal did not chose the field, and seems to have had battle forced on him, so such a complicated manoeuvre plan seems improbable at first sight)
- but more still - the whole thing is cancelled at very short notice after the cavalry combat finishes, and those same troops are able to beat off superior numbers of Romans and appear to be winning the main fight right up until they are hit by cavalry in the rear.

It really does strike me that this debate was entirely correct to be under rules and reserves thread, since this whole plan looks to me like the sort of thing a wargamer would come up with after seeing all those troops hanging about at the rear doing nothing.


Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Paul Innes on June 25, 2013, 09:32:28 AM
Patrick's most recent post is interesting, and it sparked off a minor aside for me regarding Scipio's redeployment of the Triarii to the flanks of what is about to become a single line of legionaries.  If I'm reading it correctly, Patrick is suggesting that Hannibal was wary of sending his veteran infantry around the flanks of the main engagement due to a number of factors.  One of which is the possibility of an interception by the Triarii, the kind of thing Hannibal knew Scipio had pulled off at Ilipa by deploying the Triarii wide - which is indeed where they end up at Zama.  This would explain why they are not used centrally when Scipio gains the time to reorganise his troops for the final confrontation, something that was queried earlier on this thread.

In our large recreation of the battle, we placed the Bruttian heavy foot in the centre of Hannibal's third line, with his veteran spearmen to both sides of them.  This deploys the best troops in position to turn the flanks of the Roman centre, while the Bruttians are still fresh and could stand up to tired Hastati and the already blooded Principes.  It could also produce a stand-off between the veterans and the Triarii at the ends of the line; the result is a very close infantry combat which recreates the situation at the end of the day as the cavalry return.

To be more precise, I suppose I'm wondering if Hannibal chose to hold back instead of committing to the flanking manoeuvre because he suspected that the Triarii would be sent wide to counter.  He was right, and this explains why the Triarii are deployed at the ends of the infantry line instead of in its centre.

Just a thought!

Good discussion, by the way!
Paul
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 09:58:18 AM
I've found the James article now.

I also passed over Pats one and even Stuart Hay's more recent ones on my way back in time.

None offers any evidence for a flanking march in the course of this battle.

James cites Aelian twice - once to indicate that it was theoretically possible to form the veterans in two lines (which he takes to mean that they therefore could have had one to go left and one to go right), once to indicate that there was a march column formation in operation 400 years after Zama, which he takes to mean that this was the likely formation to use for such a redeployment.

the evidence is less than thin however.

the notion that the triarii were put on the flanks of the exhausted remnants of the principes and hastatii to block or prevent a (delayed) flanking marching route column by the veterans is ridiculous.

these same veterans were deployed initially in a standard third line, no one disputes that.

they were still present in that formation and in that place when the Carthaginian citizens initially refused to fight and retreated 'in cowardly fashion' when the mercenaries and elephants had failed.

They were still present front and centre when the citizens and the principes and what was left of the hastatii had battered themselves to exhaustion.

They did not take advantage of the pause which Scipio introduced after the first and second lines had fought to march down this (exposed) flank, but rather waited and allowed the triarii to fill the space in front of them

That Scipio needed to rest and reform the principes and then combine them again with the triarii is more than adequately explained by the simple fact that there were more veterans that there were triarii - Polybius even states that when these third lines met they were equally matched in numbers, enthusiasm, experience and equipment.

That is, Scipio needed these men to simply match the numbers and frontage he faced from the veterans.

putting the triarii on the flanks rather than putting the reformed remnants of hastatii and principes on the flanks is not some revisiting of Ilipa, nor is it a blocking attempt for a flanking march.

Its just a 50 50 choice - move the reformed men again to the wings, or leave them in the middle and redeploy the triari there - it has to be one or the other - but the point is all  it achieved was to match frontages.

Something I think we over look in this discussion - this was the only battle which Hannibal fought against Romans where he did not have to think about the next Roman army. 
There was no reinforcing army on the way, so he had no need to take risks and come up with a cunning plan - he just had to kill the men in front of him - and he sought to do this by replicating the same tactic which the Romans used themselves.

successive lines of fighting men, with the most experienced and well equipped forming the final line which wins the decisive victory.  A deployment based around the maximum killing possible rather than one based around a swift dramatic victory - something which he undoubtedly learned from fighting Romans for a dozen years.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Paul Innes on June 25, 2013, 11:10:33 AM
Mark says:

Something I think we over look in this discussion - this was the only battle which Hannibal fought against Romans where he did not have to think about the next Roman army. 
There was no reinforcing army on the way, so he had no need to take risks and come up with a cunning plan - he just had to kill the men in front of him - and he sought to do this by replicating the same tactic which the Romans used themselves.

Fair enough point - similarity again with Bagradas.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 11:48:01 AM
and Scipio chose the field, not Hannibal
- which is a big argument against trying something 'tricky' like a flanking manoeuvre.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 25, 2013, 12:15:51 PM
Quote from: Paul Innes on June 25, 2013, 09:32:28 AM
To be more precise, I suppose I'm wondering if Hannibal chose to hold back instead of committing to the flanking manoeuvre because he suspected that the Triarii would be sent wide to counter.  He was right, and this explains why the Triarii are deployed at the ends of the infantry line instead of in its centre.

Paul, right idea but I do not think an interception by the triarii alone would have worried Hannibal - his veterans would have had a six-to-one superiority and would have crushed the triarii in short order.  If he thought about it he probably expected to find the principes appearing on the flanks of the hastati and the triarii on the flanks of the principes Ilipa-style, giving him a tough coherent line to fight on each flank.  I think his real problem was that following the unanticipated appearance of Masinissa he was rattled and starting to imagine all manner of surprises springing up - what else had Scipio got up his sleeve (or toga)?  This would explain why instead of going ahead with the flanking manoeuvre once all the quadrupeds were off the field he just left his first two lines to conduct a 'reconnaissance by suicide' and then committed his veterans only when he was sure Scipio had everything in the shop window.

Mark, we need to clarify a couple of points.

Quote from: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 09:58:18 AM
I've found the James article now.

I also passed over Pats one and even Stuart Hay's more recent ones on my way back in time.

None offers any evidence for a flanking march in the course of this battle.

I am puzzled at this comment: of course there was no 'flanking march' in this battle - the suggestion is rather that the dispositions suggest preparation for one but that Scipio's cavalry superiority and Hannibal's subsequent apprehensions aborted it.

Quote
the notion that the triarii were put on the flanks of the exhausted remnants of the principes and hastatii to block or prevent a (delayed) flanking marching route column by the veterans is ridiculous.

No one actually suggested that.

Quote
these same veterans were deployed initially in a standard third line, no one disputes that.

they were still present in that formation and in that place when the Carthaginian citizens initially refused to fight and retreated 'in cowardly fashion' when the mercenaries and elephants had failed.

They were still present front and centre when the citizens and the principes and what was left of the hastatii had battered themselves to exhaustion.

They did not take advantage of the pause which Scipio introduced after the first and second lines had fought to march down this (exposed) flank, but rather waited and allowed the triarii to fill the space in front of them

This is merely recitation of what we already know.  Is it possible that intentions are being confused with events?

Quote
That Scipio needed to rest and reform the principes and then combine them again with the triarii is more than adequately explained by the simple fact that there were more veterans that there were triarii - Polybius even states that when these third lines met they were equally matched in numbers, enthusiasm, experience and equipment.

That is, Scipio needed these men to simply match the numbers and frontage he faced from the veterans.

The point being ...?

Quote
putting the triarii on the flanks rather than putting the reformed remnants of hastatii and principes on the flanks is not some revisiting of Ilipa, nor is it a blocking attempt for a flanking march.

The principes and triarii were both committed fresh - at least both were ordered into battle order, and only the hastati are recorded as needing to reform and extract wounded.  Ilipa did see a very similar disposition (hastati-principes-triarii in a single line of battle), and Polybius does have Scipio putting the triarii on the flanks at Zama.  So perhaps we could clarify your intended point? Obviously Scipio needed to match frontages, but is the point that Hannibal's third line was wider than his first two, or what?  And how is this relevant?

Quote
Something I think we over look in this discussion - this was the only battle which Hannibal fought against Romans where he did not have to think about the next Roman army. 
There was no reinforcing army on the way, so he had no need to take risks and come up with a cunning plan - he just had to kill the men in front of him - and he sought to do this by replicating the same tactic which the Romans used themselves.

Actually success at Zama would mean he had to think seriously about the next Roman army: the Romans had plenty of military potential left, plus the naval superiority to convey it to Africa, failing which the Carthaginians would feel insecure unless they could recover Hispania and probably Sicilia.  We might also recall that Hannibal had taken an oath of eternal enmity to Rome and would certainly not consider Zama as the last battle he would fight against the Romans.  Even if it had been agreed between the two sides that this would be the last Roman-Carthaginian battle ever, it neither implies nor justifies the adoption of pure attrition - the traditional mark of the poorest of generals - as a battle tactic.

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successive lines of fighting men, with the most experienced and well equipped forming the final line which wins the decisive victory.  A deployment based around the maximum killing possible rather than one based around a swift dramatic victory - something which he undoubtedly learned from fighting Romans for a dozen years.

'Swift dramatic victory' at Cannae (taking most of the afternoon) actually produced the 'maximum killing possible' (c.50,000-70,000 depending upon who you read).  Zama subtracted a mere 1,500 or so Romans permanently from Scipio's OB. 

Quote from: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 11:48:01 AM
and Scipio chose the field, not Hannibal
- which is a big argument against trying something 'tricky' like a flanking manoeuvre.

Not at all: the ground was perfect for a flanking manoeuvre by either army.  Terrain is not restricted to use by only the side that selects the battlefield.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 25, 2013, 12:58:19 PM
Pat,

All three of you in slingshot have argued that the 'plan' was to have a flanking march.

yet none of you offer any evidence.

to argue that there was a disposition to facilitate such a flanking move is quite hard to understand
- the disposition is entirely the opposite of that - it is a disposition to fight a frontal battle head on exactly as described in all of the sources

A disposition for a flanking march would have at least started with the veterans deployed to the flanks and ready to march - not deployed to the centre from where they never moved all day.

remember, Cannae started with them already in such a flanking position - and even then, he did not rely on them marching down the Roman flank, but on having the Romans march into the trap.  That was an army which he had years to train for such a manoeuvre, unlike this one.

And it was a very high risk strategy.  To repeat it against a better general, on a field which he did not choose is very hard to accept, so where is the evidence to support the proposition?

I submit that there was never any plan to march to the flank, because such a move could just as easily have seen Scipio withdraw as fight.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 25, 2013, 04:36:05 PM
Mark,

I will admit the evidence is indirect.  One point to remember is that Hannibal knows from Scipio's record in Spain that his opponent is more wily than Varro at Cannae, and there is no chance of getting Scipio replaced by a Varro-equivalent.  Furthermore, Hannibal may well have known that Scipio had been at Cannae and could be on the lookout for telltale clues.  Therefore there is good reason for Hannibal to try and screen his intentions by not making his deployment obvious.

The Third Line
The first question that arises is why he drew up his third line a considerable distance behind the others.  This would be a hindrance if the idea was to exploit fatigue and casualties among Scipio's army: the final line should be close and ready to intervene before Scipio could redeploy.  As a means of committing the third line in such a way as to decide the battle this considerable-distance-back deployment makes no sense.

It is eminently sensible, however, in the context of a double envelopment: the veterans can split and march round the flanks at a convenient distance - being well behind the citizen troops they can hear their signals and orders without confusion and can manoeuvre without fear of interference from anything that might happen with their own lines.

It was this unusual gap between the third line and the rest of the army that first made me wonder if the role of this line was something other than just long stop at the end of a hot, tiring day.  It would seem that others have independently come to a similar conclusion.

Battle Plans
Next is the curious affair of the cavalry: why, if Hannibal knew himself inferior in cavalry, did he not take steps like helping his cavalry out with elephants and infantry?  He deployed as if he believed himself superior in cavalry.  Tracing back and forwards through our sources, this led me to the conclusion that Scipio had pulled a fast one on him with Masinissa.  Given that it looks as if Hannibal was fooled on this point, the question becomes: what was his battle plan, assuming that he had been superior in cavalry?

If we look for a battle with similar attributes, that battle has to be Bagradas, the only decisive Carthaginian success against a Roman army in Africa.  Some of Hannibal's dispositions - the elephants, the Carthaginian citizen troops - are very reminiscent of Bagradas, but others are not, including the curious retention of his veterans some way back.

Given that Bagradas was a one-line full-encirclement battle, what is missing to make Zama the same?  Hannibal, even if his mounted troops are matched only against Laelius' men or nothing at all, lacks the cavalry strength to surround Scipio's infantry.  And he has a whole line of crack encirclement-capable troops waiting - not in the wings but some way back in the rear.  Given that Hannibal was a master of deception and cunning battle planning, is there a reason he would not have had a cunning plan for this battle?  And if he had a plan, it seemed to be along the lines of the tried and trusted Bagradas (as a certain Mr Grindlay has rightly pointed out) - so by looking at what he had and thinking how he could fill out the Bagradas mould, so to speak, the encircling move by his veterans suggests itself.

Implementation and Timing
So - Hannibal seems to be going for Bagradas version 2.  He does not have enough elephants to recreate Xanthippus' elephant density, and does not seem to think that concentrating his heffalumps against only one third of Scipio's front is going to do much good, so he uses his Celts to help out as either gap-exploiters or as surrogate elephants - either way they seem to be committed in column-like formations to get between the doubled-up maniples of hastati, otherwise the Carthaginian citizen troops cannot end up fighting Celts and Romans at the same time.  Between the elephants and the Celts Hannibal has his shock force to break up the Roman lines.  Behind them come the citizen spearmen, with presumably the same role as at Bagradas: kebab the Romans who push through between elephants and Celts.  This should gradually macerate the main strength of the Roman infantry, and should at the very least force the commitment of the principes to support the hastati, preventing the principes from being used on the flanks (this but actually came close to working).

Now we get a matter of timing.  In what I see as Hannibal's plan, his cavalry chases off Laelius' Romans and Italians, clearing the way for the veterans to do their double envelopment.  The elephants, Celts and citizen troops were intended to pin and crunch the main strength of the Roman infantry, keeping the hastati busy and forcing the principes to come to their aid.  While this was going on, the veterans would be marching round the flanks to deliver a Cannae-style envelopment.  Scipio, with his cavalry driven off the field, would have only his triarii free to counter this move, and even these might be pinned if the Carthaginian cavalry had won handily and left it to Tychaeus' Numidians to see the Roman cavalry off the field, staying around themselves to inhibit Roman countermoves.  All of this would happen in overlapping fashion, so Scipio could not hope to beat off the successive and mutually synergistic attacks by elephants, Celts and citizen troops and free his main infantry strength in time to counter Hannibal's double flank march.

It looks like a plan.

Cannae and Zama
At Cannae Hannibal used his veterans to perform a decisive double envelopment.  There he had a clear cavalry superiority - prompting Polybius' 2:1 comment - and an opponent so useless that a more overt deployment did not trigger his intentions.  At Zama Hannibal had realised that Scipio was evidently a cut above Varro's class, so a pair of flanking columns ready to go would have given the game away and, as Mark has pointed out, perhaps prompted Scipio to decline battle.  The decisive stroke needed to be concealed, and what better way to conceal it than to hide it behind the rest of the army as what looked like a simple reserve line?  A third line looks innocuous whereas a pair of flanking columns can be a bit of a giveaway, especially to a general who had been at Cannae.

This is a longwinded way of saying that Hannibal's initial dispositions would need to have been crafted not to telegraph his intent.  Hence we do not see any obvious dispositions for encirclement, just the potential to execute such a move.  Softly, softly catchee Skippy ...
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 26, 2013, 07:12:09 AM
That's better Pat,

I could to and fro on those details quite happily - it was the complete assumption of certainty (from not just you) behind this theory of an abandoned envelopment which needed to be challenged.

I'll rest for a bit - but challenge you to think of an explanation from the sources which offers a equally good answer to your questions based on the premise - as written - that his intention was to fight the romans using a roman style battle of layers of fighting men. 
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 26, 2013, 08:58:52 AM
Later.  :)
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 26, 2013, 02:23:20 PM
actually, there is one thing which might be interesting that may tempt you just now.

Exactly where does the source for the elephants stampeding back onto the Carthaginian lines come from?

I only ask as at the time I read Livy and Polybius on this, I remember not seeing anything on the matter.

And is the same notion stated clearly in any other source on another elephant battle from which it could be assumed to be a universal rule?
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Duncan Head on June 26, 2013, 04:26:05 PM
Both Polybios and Livy describe the elephants fleeing into their own cavalry and causing confusion, so I'm not quite sure what the issue is, Mark.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 26, 2013, 04:29:47 PM
it must have been the translation I was using, I just didn't see it at the time.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 26, 2013, 04:38:20 PM
scratch that, I remember what it was that I remembered.

Both of these only report the elephants panicking into their own cavalry.

yet to read wargamers reports on the battle, they pose a threat to their own infantry, and it is a given on a free deployment to put hem out with the cavalry to swing the battle there.

Polybius
15.12
It was just at the moment of this stampede of the elephants, that Laelius forced the Carthaginian cavalry into headlong flight, and along with Massanissa pressed them with a vigorous pursuit

Livy
33.13. raising such a din that the elephants panicked and charged their own lines, especially on the left wing where the Moors and Numidians were stationed. Masinissa quickly added to the general panic and thus robbed that section of the line of its cavalry support. 
33.14. A few of the elephants that had remained under control made a charge against the lines of light-armed skirmishers (velites) and wrought havoc among them, while suffering severe casualties themselves. 
33.15. For by pulling back to the lines of regular infantry to avoid being crushed by the elephants, the skirmishers opened clear lanes between them and then caught them in cross fire by hurling spears against them from both sides. The javelins of the regular infantry kept up a hail of missiles from every quarter, 
33.16. until the elephants were driven out of the Roman lines and turned against their own troops, putting to flight the Carthaginian cavalry on the right wing also. Laelius, with his cavalry on the Roman left, added to their panic as they fled.

which rather speaks to the question of why Hannibal did not station his elephants in support of his cavalry in the first place.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Duncan Head on June 26, 2013, 04:56:04 PM
Quote from: Mark G on June 26, 2013, 04:38:20 PM
Both of these only report the elephants panicking into their own cavalry.

yet to read wargamers reports on the battle, they pose a threat to their own infantry, and it is a given on a free deployment to put hem out with the cavalry to swing the battle there.
Presumably this varies between rulesets - I vaguely remember (could be wrong)  that in at least some editions of the old WRG rules, elephants wouldn't burst through close-order infantry lines, but would through anything else. But surely this swerving out towards the cavalry is the same phenomenon that gets them running down the lanes between the Roman maniples: the elephants will avoid close-packed blocks of men and go round when they can. There may be occasions - when starting from too close, perhaps - when they can't avoid them. For example Polybios XI.1.8-9 on Metaurus: "The elephants too had been of equal service to both sides in the battle; for as they were shut in between the two armies and tormented by missiles, they threw both the Roman and the Spanish ranks into confusion. "
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 26, 2013, 09:51:30 PM
I cannot improve upon Duncan's comments here, so will simply add that this might be the reason Xanthippus close-packed his elephants at Bagradas: with no easy exit anywhere except forwards, the pachyderms would find doing their duty the easiest option.

At Zama, Polybius (more correctly 'Polybios') describes 'some' of the elephants going down the elephant lanes and 'some' swerving in the direction of the cavalry.  This suggests the flankwards elephants headed for the open ground they could perceive while those in the centre took the course of least resistance - forward through the gaps between the hastati.

When the Roman cavalry opened up with missiles, the new priority for the elephants became missile avoidance, resulting in changed direction.  The question seems to be why this did not also happen in the centre.  The elephant lanes in the Roman army would appear to be the answer here: they represented the perceptible course of least resistance.  Experiences at the Metaurus, where (as Duncan mentions) elephants were caught between the fighting lines and equally incommoded both armies, may have helped Scipio towards the conclusion that simply giving them a fright and letting them through was more cost-effective than trying to fight them head-on.  Hence the elephant lanes at Zama and hence no elephants backtracking to trouble the Carthaginian infantry.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 27, 2013, 09:02:22 AM
its quite an interesting question though, I think.

especially in the context of the 'obvious' thing for Hannibal to do as a wargamer (well, apart from engineering a flank march) - that of putting the elephants out with the cavalry.

It also has implications for the cavalry battle itself

- did Scipio's cavalry think themselves insufficiently strong to take on the Carthaginian cavalry from the outset - but strong enough to take advantage of the disruption from the elephants?

or was the elephant attack premature (which would assist the idea that the mercenaries failed to follow up closely enough)

Or was the intention simply to use the elephants and mercenaries to completely clear away that heavy velite screen, rather than really get stuck into the hastatii line as we have assumed?

lots of possibilities worth a bit of consideration.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 27, 2013, 12:53:16 PM
Well, Polybius has the elephant attack ordered by signal, which suggests it was not premature.  I really do wonder about Livy's account because he (among other things) seems to mix up the Carthaginian second and third lines.  The rest of this post relies on Polybius as our most coherent and reliable source for the action.  (No references because the Perseus site seems to be down today.)

Cavalry - Masinissa has 2:1 over Tychaeus, whose troops are of superior quality ("the best in Africa").  Laelius and his opponents are not detailed, but Hannibal considered himself 'inferior in the cavalry arm' until joined by Tychaeus, which we can take to indicate Laelius having superiority in quantity, quality or both over just the Carthaginian horse.  The Numidians were 'skirmishing' before the elephant advance was sounded, so they were already getting involved though as yet without a result.  Laelius and his Carthaginian foes, being regular troops, were presumably awaiting orders.

Velites - these fought 'between the armies' but were initially drawn up in the 'lanes' between the doubled-up maniples.  It is hard to envisage the role of the mercenaries and elephants being to clear away the velites (only) because this would imply the ability to do so without the hastati becoming involved - and Polybius describes the fight as being between the mercenaries and the hastati, not mercenaries vs velites.  The problem is not that the mercenaries have overreached themselves in taking on the hastati but that the second line have not advanced closely in support.  The fact that they were expected to do so indicates that the mercenaries were supposed to get stuck into the hastati (and possibly beyond) and the citizen troops were intended to follow up and polish off anything that got through the elephants and mercenaries.  This all has shades of Bagradas.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 27, 2013, 01:52:39 PM
I've just put both Livy and Polybius on Zama into the Battles forum.

Along with my comparison between them (a scene by scene type thing)

and an interpretations.

sorry its so long, merit award to anyone who finishes it all
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 27, 2013, 01:54:09 PM
"'inferior in the cavalry arm' "

could just as easily mean 'not having enough to be decisive' as meaning that he had an inferior cavalry to the Roman cavalry.

Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 27, 2013, 02:35:05 PM
For Italian loyalty, I think it is just more of Livy's hyper patriotism getting in the way.

If these men are Italians who want to fight Romans, they cannot be reliable, therefore it follows that he will denigrate them.

Conversely, the comparatively poorly performing Carthaginian citizens - well, Rome was a citizen based army, Carthage was Rome's greatest foe and its most feared general, and so they should be equally matched at this point.

He also denigrates the 'barbarian' mercenaries too, in typical Roman fashion.

I note that he barely mentions the combat with the veterans whilst the other combats are worth a bit of detail - it all adds to the same picture of what is important to Livy - unreliable allies, brave citizens, traitorous turncoats and impressive but ineffective elephants.

Quite why some folk still want to see Livy as more reliable than Polybios, I really cannot fathom,
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 27, 2013, 07:38:43 PM
Whatever Hannibal had before Tychaeus joined him, he deemed it insufficient and needed 2,000 of the 'best cavalry in Africa' before he felt comfortable.  It seems unlikely (at least to me) that his original Carthaginian cavalry contingent (which faced Laelius at Zama) could be considered superior to the Roman, even indecisively so.

On the assumption that Zama would be fought without Masinissa, Hannibal's cavalry right would have been expected to defeat about half of Laelius' cavalry (the other half would be on Tychaeus' wing).  This suggests a superiority of maybe 3:2 in 'combat factors' (numbers and/or quality) over 50% of Laelius' force, but inferiority, or perceived inferiority, to the whole of it (perhaps 3:4?).

As previously mentioned, Hannibal had an antidote in the works for Masinissa: Vermina plus 8,000 or so Numidian cavalry.  Had he believed Masinissa would get involved, then waiting for Vermina would not have been too great a strain on his patience - he had already told the Carthaginian senate to mind their own business and leave things to him regarding timing and the conduct of the campaign.

Appian (I think it is Appian) suggests that Hannibal's camp had difficulty with its water supply, which acted as an incentive for him to engage.  This may just be the author rationalising after the event, as there is usually a simple remedy for such difficulties: move to another campsite.  (Another one, which Mithridates Eupator would have done well to consider, is to dig for water.)

Livy is indeed a bit strange when describing this battle - he may be selecting from his sources in line with his cultural imperatives, as you suggest.  Personally I give him a wide berth for this engagement.  He is however useful because he mentions Vermina and his force, which puts another piece of the strategic jigsaw in place.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 07:23:04 AM
Polybius/os has the water reference also.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 09:12:53 AM
Have we got any more on Vermina ?

There are some things about the passage which leave a few doubts, so it would be good to check what more we have on him.



such as:
the 8000 seems a typical ancients overemphasised number - clearly 'significant' is safe to say, but 8000 cavalry after Tychaeus (the best in Africa) and Massanissa have departed AND after a civil war has been fought?
it seems a large number to accept. 

Also, Livy reports these men as being expected by Hannibal - yet Livy also reports Hannibal as force marching to the battle when instructed - it is Polybios - who does not report anything about Vermina - who says Hannibal refused to attack immediately because he was not ready. 
Force marching to a battle before you expect significant reinforcements is a bit unexpected, especially from one such as Hannibal.

What part did Vermina play in the civil war with Massanissa? 
Was Vermina on Syphax' side? 
Could he simply be Livy's name for the Syphaxians had they been victorious?

The passage would certainly fit better if it meant that the Carthaginians knew the civil war was resolved, and that there were significant reinforcements on the way - but the victor was unclear - 'Vermina' being the last name associated with the pro Carthaginian forces.

So, what more do we have on him that we can use to add credence to this part of Livy?
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Duncan Head on June 28, 2013, 09:33:14 AM
Quote from: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 09:12:53 AM
Have we got any more on Vermina ?
Livy 29.33.
Livy 31.11.
http://www.perseus.tufts.edu/hopper/text?doc=Perseus:text:1999.04.0104:entry=vermina-bio-1 (http://www.perseus.tufts.edu/hopper/text?doc=Perseus:text:1999.04.0104:entry=vermina-bio-1)
Appian Punica 6.33 - putting Vermina in contact with Hannibal well before Zama.
A few of his coins survive - http://www.bmimages.com/images-of-Vermina.html (http://www.bmimages.com/images-of-Vermina.html)
He held on to Siga, his father's old capital in the western Numidian regions that eventually became Mauretanian Caesariensis, for an uncertain period - http://tinyurl.com/nmpatgj (http://tinyurl.com/nmpatgj)
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 11:53:20 AM
Where is the passage about Hannibal expecting Vermina?

I can see him in 30 36 arriving.

But Scipio has taken and plundered the camp on the hill, returned to his own camp, had Lentullus join him, sailed to Carthage - met supplicants, and diverted them to Tynes , returned to Uttica and marched his army to Tynes, and on route it is Scipio who receives word of Vermina coming with an army.

Which, for the defeated son of Syphax, is still pretty good going to raise any sort of army and march it out of country - but does seem pretty odd given that he was the defeated son of Syyphax and the victory had been such that Massanissa could immediately depart with something like ten thousand men.

Livy also has Hannibal being fully aware of Massanissa's arrival and the forces he had with him - there is a lot of doubt to be cast here on the notion that Hannibal had any idea of a (third and largest yet) Numidian army being on route.
Title: Re: Why did Zama go wrong for Hannibal?
Post by: Patrick Waterson on June 28, 2013, 12:17:00 PM
Quote from: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 11:53:20 AM
Where is the passage about Hannibal expecting Vermina?

Alas our sources are rarely that explicit.

The question to answer here is: why was Vermina, son of Carthage's ally Syphax, on the march with 15,000+ Numidians, mainly cavalry - and why was he attacked by the Romans?

The fact that the Romans attack him shows he is on Carthage's side.  As the force he is with when ambushed is too small to take on Scipio by itself, there is only one reason he would have been out and about with it in the first place: to join up with Hannibal.

Quote from: Mark G on June 28, 2013, 11:53:20 AM

Livy also has Hannibal being fully aware of Massanissa's arrival and the forces he had with him - there is a lot of doubt to be cast here on the notion that Hannibal had any idea of a (third and largest yet) Numidian army being on route.


Not by Livy, whose reliability of description here seems very doubtful.  Even Appian, who is not always noted for his accuracy, correctly identifies the third line as Hannibal's veterans, whereas Livy does not seem able to place them correctly.  I would put little faith in Livy's descriptions of pre-battle (or battle) events and much in what we have of Polybius'.

The question of how Vermina could acquire 15,000+ troops from a 'defeated' kingdom is simple: he tapped the manpower resources a bit further.  Numidia had a mix of tribes and cities, and it was the tribes that provided cavalry plus the lighter infantry.  Such formed troops as were occasionally fielded - e.g. the cohorts Scipio had trained for Syphax - may conceivably have come from townsmen, and these Vermina would not have to hand.  The more peripheral tribes, however, would not yet have been touched.  It is noteworthy that these probably represented his final resources, because following his defeat he sued for peace rather than fight on a la Tacfarinas.